Duncan Robinson Not Comparable to Steph Curry: NBA Three-Point Shooting Efficiency Data Analysis

In a recent interview, Max Strus – former teammate of Duncan Robinson at the Miami Heat – strongly compared him to Steph Curry. But the 40% three-point shooting percentage from 7.25 meters in Duncan Robinson's career shows the picture is not as perfect as it seems. Numbers do not lie, but they also do not tell stories. In the 2026-20 season, Duncan Robinson made 270 three-pointers, an impressive number in terms of volume. However, compared to Curry's 42.2%, the gap remains clear. Additionally, average playing time of 26.3 minutes per game versus 34.0 minutes for Curry. These numbers are not random but reflect the real value of a three-point specialist. Context on Duncan Robinson starts from the Miami Heat, where he was seen as one of the most reliable three-point shooters in the NBA. Since 2026, he has established himself. 2026-20 was the peak, with 270 made threes – the highest in his short career. The comparison with Curry seems to stem from Strus's praise. But tactical analysis shows Robinson is a catch-and-shoot three-point specialist type, not requiring much movement. He fits the spacing system, creating space for passes. Compared to league average, Robinson maintained stable efficiency but not a breakthrough. Compared to Curry, efficiency is 2.2% lower despite the same role. The playing time disparity reduces shot opportunities, making direct comparison unfair. Core analysis based on data from Basketball-Reference and NBA.com shows Robinson's career 3PT% at 40% from 7.25 meters, while Curry is at 42.2%. The 270 made threes in 2026-20 demonstrate high shooting ability, but volume is lower due to limited minutes. Direct comparison to Curry is unreasonable because Curry plays more, creating more opportunities. If adjusted by minutes, Robinson's efficiency could be equivalent to some extent. However, the 2.2% difference still exists, reflecting differences in technique and shooting rhythm. Strus's comparison likely comes from teammate relationship and mentorship, not pure statistical evaluation. In the Heat system, Robinson plays a key shooter role, supporting spacing for Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro. Contrarian angle is that this comparison has been overused in Robinson's role. Although 40% efficiency is impressive, it is not on par with Curry's benchmark. Playing time 26.3 vs 34.0 minutes shows he does not have the chance to prove at the highest level. If Robinson is given 34 minutes, efficiency could improve due to familiarity with the shot. But currently, he is a reliable shooter at high volume, not a superstar like Curry. This comparison should be used to understand real value: Robinson is a good choice for teams needing spacing, especially in current Pistons with play-in position. Data shows he has been stable since 2026, but not at Curry's level. Coaches can use him as a three-point option, but not expect equivalence. Takeaway is context is needed when evaluating players. For Robinson, he can develop if given more playing time. Signal for future: if he maintains 38%+ from deep and increases volume, he will attract trade interest. NBA needs to focus on real efficiency rather than hype comparisons. Although comparisons with Curry sound good, data tells otherwise. Robinson deserves recognition on his own, not under Curry's shadow.